Rolly Montpellier | Surprising Climate Predictions For 2022


“Let’s be clear—what you are doing is not about climate action or responding to an emergency. It never was,” said Greta Thunberg during her address at the recent Austrian World Summit. Most will agree that world leaders are only pretending to be climate leaders, only pretending to take the climate threat seriously. Click here for the full article.

Canadian politicians won’t be able to ignore climate change in 2022.” according to Maclean’s. As Canadians are learning to live with the COVID threat, “another emergency of existential scale has been implacably gathering strength.” Public opinion is slowly coalescing on the gravity of climate change and the range of solutions our government should be taking.

Top Five Climate Predictions for 2022

As the urgency to act on climate continues to mount, Canadians will increasingly expect more ambitious climate policy from all levels of government. The following five predictions for 2022 are sourced from an Environmental Defence Canada article by executive-director Tim Gray.

1. Putting a cap on oil and gas carbon emissions

Rising carbon emissions from oil and gas production have washed out reductions from every other sector. As a result, the federal government has committed to developing and implementing a cap forcing industry to reduce emissions to zero by 2050. Expect the oil industry to ask Canadians to pay for any emission reduction measures just as they have asked us to foot the bill for slowing methane gas leaks, cleaning up abandoned wells and addressing the trillions of litres of contaminated tar sands tailings currently leaking into the Athabasca River.

2. Electric vehicles finally come into their own

The coming year will mark the introduction of many new EV models with greater range and lower prices than ever. But if you live anywhere except BC or Quebec good luck getting one. The federal government has finally promised to help address this problem by implementing a new requirement for car companies to sell a certain portion of their overall sales as zero emission vehicles (as BC and Quebec do). 2022 is the year this is supposed to happen.

3. Financial institutions will become more transparent on climate risks

After years of talking about sustainability while actually cranking up lending to, and investment in, oil and gas companies, we will finally see some positive change. Expect to see citizen campaigns focused on bank hypocrisy and for federal regulators to finally step in and create rules around transparency and reporting with regards to climate-related risk for federally regulated institutions.

4. Some plastics will get banned and a returnable economy makes a new appearance

We expect the federal courts will uphold our government’s right to protect us and our environment from the impacts of plastic pollution and will keep the bans of key single use plastic items moving forward. We also expect to see a growing citizen and business community movement to adopt reusable packaging and support the repair of products (just like the good ole days).

5. The Ontario election will be all about the environment

The Ontario government has launched its re-election bid based on a promise to build more highways, more sprawl, which actually means less habitat for endangered species and more carbon emissions. Expect strong citizen and media engagement in the lead up to the June 2022 election and for environmental policy differences between parties to dominate the debate.

Other predictions by Environmental Defence:

  • New mega Highways will be very unpopular
  • Consumers get to know the toxics that are in their cosmetics and cleaning products
  • Citizens will rise up against sprawl
  • Canada will finally get its new Toxics and Environmental Justice Laws
  • The kids will be alright

In an unrelated article, Fix Solutions Lab (Grist) asks 22 climate visionaries for their prediction for this year. Read the full article here.

We’ve already sentenced ourselves to some level of damage — Fix

  • The climate fight will reach critical mass – Tara Houska
  • Climate tech solutions will scale up – Emily Kirsch
  • Mainstream culture will cover climate in new ways – Mika Tosca
  • The U.S. will follow the E.U. on carbon policy – Bob Inglis
  • Cities will embrace electrification – Mark Chambers

More climate fixers will rise to the climate challenges facing humanity in 2022, “a growing community of visionaries” according to Grist.

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